Monday, May 13, 2013

Android will rule the world - CHIP

Evolution is change. Random genetic changes cause changes in the functioning of organisms and the environment variables that makes some of these changes appear to improve the adaptation of their hosts, contributing to their long life and leave more offspring. However, contrary to earlier fantasies, evolution is not uniform.

Most of the history involved the stabilization period, during which changes little, interrupted at times of rapid changes in the environment are reflected in the sudden appearance (and extinction) of many species. Such impulses that cause great confusion in the world of animals and plants were great climate change, continental drift and uplift of mountains (all of these things anyway often merge into each other), and najgwa?towniejszym unless the well-known landmark for our biosphere event was ended chalk, and once her reign of the dinosaurs fall asteroid on which we have been Chicxulub crater and land ready to seize power in mammals.

If you read my previous discussion, surely you know that what is happening in the world of IT products manufacturers and see how the evolution of species in the ecosystem of the Earth. This time we’ve got for you a similar analogy: in the world of computers, until recently, it took a period of relative stability and small, gradual changes that broke the emergence of the iPhone and iPad and with them the common touch, simplicity and mobility, causing huge refurbishment and violent , accelerated evolution. I feel that the chaos caused by these impaktami slowly begins to emerge and stabilize the new order: there is no doubt that the “regular” phones fall into oblivion that tablets have become – thanks to the variety of forms and prices – devices for everyone, and that PCs are purchased and used less frequently in those applications where you can not even use the tablets and smartphones. It starts to emerge a new, absolute ruler of the world. Wha t?

history of these trends is also the history of adaptive radiation (the term used to describe the evolutionary adaptation of one species or genus to colonize different ecological niches) Android. Although the market of smartphones and tablets still must continue to share with Apple’s iOS has the advantage over him flexibility and openness – two features payouts of evolution among living organisms, as well as in the world of IT. If you believe the rumors, the green robot has an appetite for another niche – PCs. Better to adapt the system for computers (which is supposed to be a version of Key Lime Pie) would be a logical and sensible move, because already many manufacturers experimenting with low-cost notebook running on Android (although it is difficult these experiments be considered successful). Android is almost everywhere, and will soon be everywhere. Really anywhere. Includes fridge.

two-three years the IT market may resemble the Earth at the end of the Cretaceous: the absolute dominance of dinosaurs – Android – in all ecosystems, effectively blocking the development of any competition. Stifling any changes.

You say I’m exaggerating. That this situation is nothing new, because until now we had even a virtual monopoly of Microsoft and its Windows and nothing bad happened. Unfortunately, this is not so.

Take the Quaternary period (that is, roughly, a little of what we have today) – although mammals are the dominant vertebrates on land, in the air, but descendants of the dinosaurs ruled supreme – the birds – in the water, our common ancestors, or fish. Microsoft’s monopoly windowed times look like. It was hard to find a PC without Windows, but on smartphones (which, moreover, was desperately low in comparison with “dumb” phones) reigned Symbian and Je?ynka, and PDAs (anyone remember what that is?) Palm OS. Huge “ecological niches” such as music players, gaming consoles, GPS navigation kingdoms remained infinite variety. Now the situation is very different.

Until recently, I thought the total domination of one system will not happen. Natural selection as the best premium on market forces to adapt, no matter where they come from and, therefore, usually even if one type is dominant, it is not an absolute domination. Looking at the evolution of the market, however, is slowly starting to change my mind.

Dinosaurs ruled the earth for 160 million years and we had a billion tons of speeding up to 20 thousand. km / s rocks to their complete domination. Android will rule soon on smartphones, tablets, PCs, TVs, refrigerators, glasses, cars, navigation systems, game consoles, MP3 players, watches and wherever possible to shove a piece of the chip. How long? I do not know. But I’m looking forward to a meteorite.

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